Friday, June 4, 2010

If the elections were today....

If the election were held today the Democrats would lose 55 seats in the House and at least six in the Senate. Depending on the size of the wave the Democrats could end up losing 80 seats in the House, and if the GOP runs the table in the Senate, could lose 11 in the Upper Chamber. On the Senate side, Arkansas, North Dakota, Indiana and Delaware are certainly GOP pickups. Nevada, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Colorado are leaning to the GOP and California, Wisconsin, and Washington State are tossups. It is not out of the realm of possiblity that the GOP could sweep those states-they picked up twelve in 1980. If they get ten that will give them 51 and the majority. It will be very interesting to see if Blanche Lincoln survives in Arkansas (I don't think she will) and which Republican woman will emerge in the Nevada Senate primary to challenge Harry Reid. California will also have its primary and the winner will face the ultra-liberal Barbara Boxer. There are tons of primaries and after next Tuesday we'll get a good idea of where the races are so we can make some good guesses on where they will end up.

No comments:

Post a Comment