Monday, February 21, 2011

Open seats in the Senate point to large GOP gains in 2012

The Democratic exodus continues: Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico is retiring in 2012. He probably would have won reelection easily but his departure gives the GOP a real chance to win the seat. I wouldn't doubt if you see more Democratic defections from the Upper Chamber in the next couple of months. I have a sneaking suspicion that Herb Kohl will not run again and Diane Feinstein will also call it quits. Here's the list of vulnerable Democratic seats in 2012:
1)Missouri-McCaskill
2)Nebraska-Nelson
3)Virginia-Open
4)Montana-Tester
5)Brown-Ohio
6)North Dakota-Open
7)Florida-Nelson
8)Michigan-Stabenow
9)Pennsylvania-Casey
10)New Mexico-Open
11)Minnesota-Klobuchar
12)West Virginia-Manchin
13)Connecticut-Open
14)Wisconsin-Kohl

The GOP could pick up all 14 of these seats (unlikely yes but they did pick up 12 in 1946 and 1980 so it is possible in a wave election)-providing that the GOP is able to defend its seats (especially in Massachusetts) it could end up with around 60. At the very least they will pick up 7 and, with a GOP President, would roll back ObamaCare using the reconciliation process for most of its provisions. Time will tell.

Sincerely,

The Snitch

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