Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Two Pennsylvania Dems in Trouble

As I've posted before, Kathy Dahlkemper is as vulnerable an incumbent as there is in this year's cycle. A car dealer named Mike Kelly emerged from a primary loaded with contestants (always a sign of how weak the incumbent is)should be able to send Dahlkemper back to Erie in the fall.
Phil Kanjorski, whom I originally thought would be a strong position to be reelected, posted a terrible showing in the Pennsylvania primary last week and is in big trouble in November. As the very controversial banking bill draws near to the conference committee for final passage, Kanjorski will be attacked for his various ties to banking interests. As a subcommittee chairman he'll be playing defense through the summer and into the fall and I only give him a 50% chance of reelection.

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